Originally posted by Leo Volont
Oh, yes, the 2008 Games would be enough to have China bide her time. *But one thing is absolutely certain, that Taiwan will never be able to sustain independence. *Economically, militarily and politically Taiwan is simply not a fraction as powerful as the Mainland. *The Chinese have a tenacious sense of History. *We can see that China never forgets when we look at how China has annexed Tibet because of an invasion from Tibet in the 12th Century. *\"You invade us, now we invade you\"... 8 centuries later, but to the Chinese, that is like yesterday. * So Taiwan is Chinese, and everyone knows it. *There will be no slipping out. *China is familiar with how Civilizations collapse. *Allowing an Empire's jurisdiction to crumble is a first step off of a very steep drop, and the Chinese will fight allowing it. *And yes it is in the nature of Angloamericanism to attempt to destabilize other nations, other Civilizations... gladly burning down a city if some businessman in New York of London can get away with a few gold candlesticks. *But China has been staring Angloamericanism in the face now for over two Centuries, and while they get stronger, Angloamericanism is getting weaker. *they aren't going to flinch now.
Also, China is now indispensable in World Economic affairs. *Are they not now the manufacturers to the World? *If Europe had to choose between China and Angloamerica... well what has Angloamerica ever been to Europe but an implacable enemy for the last 800 years. *Europe may begin to think of its own interests in being on the same Euroasian Continent with China. *Angloamerica has always been an enemy and an invader of Europe, while China may be able to persuade Europe of its historic propensity for Peace, something that Angloamerica would have a tough time competing with.
Of course, there is the danger that the Western World had not intended to make China the Manufacturer to the World and may instigate a Global War just to wean the Global Economy away from Chinese Goods. *The problem there is that China is the reliable low cost producer. *There could be no easy transition away from that. *It almost couldn't happen because the Banks would be opposed to the high price inflation that would certainly follow, and Banks Chairmans are more powerful than Presidents in their own way. *But the possibility remains that the West could push for a War with China simply to get back its own manufacturing which it had never intended to slip quite so far. * I suppose China could become a self-sufficient Economy, non-addicted to infusions of hard currency from the West, but somehow they would have to get a good share of the World's Petroleum, or whatever Energy Source they can come up with. *Without that, China could simply not sit back. *It'd make me feel a lot better if they were to strike some significant oil reserves in China somewhere, then they could be free enough to simply tell the rest of the World to get bent and go to what Chinese have always loved the most -- blissful isolation.
Um...you lost me after the invasion part.
For now, at least, Taiwan is self-governing. Like pedaling a bike, with China, the father holding its shoulders. If China lets go, Taiwan would still go forward, pedaling by itself. Now I realize what you are saying about China not wanting to let go -- but I know what I saw, and I think that outside of their fear of being targeted by a nuclear missile, the Taiwanese want to be free of China. Chen Shui-bian, to be sure, will not allow himself to die until the gears of independence are in motion. I know, I know, one man, even in America, can't start a revolution -- but he can start to start it, and he can inspire others. I believe once the people begin to grow a little more of a backbone, as Chen has, then they will lean more toward independence as well.
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