When you say the wheel is only spun once, you mean once, and then once more after each "injection" right? |
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You're abducted for an experiment. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
When you say the wheel is only spun once, you mean once, and then once more after each "injection" right? |
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No, I mean once. The outcome decides if you are let go or if you are subjected to the process of being woken up and injected with the memory eraser/sleeping drug 10,000 times. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
Oh. I get it. |
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---o--- my DCs say I'm dreamy.
I really didn't think that I did such a bad job explaining it. I'll try again. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
The first thought (and it might be overly simple :O) that came to my mind is that the chances are 1/100. In each result, you would wake up. So the chances of waking up and not dying as part of the experiment outweigh the chances of waking up and being killed. |
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Stop Panic[/FONT]
That's my thought too. Who wants to post the argument for the other way it could work out? |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
So the scientist wakes up and spins the wheel... |
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---o--- my DCs say I'm dreamy.
You've phrased the question horribly man. It just doesn't make sense. Your second explanation is a bit better though. |
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I think I understand. |
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---o--- my DCs say I'm dreamy.
You people suck. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
I think people got confused, because the way you said it makes it absolutely obvious. If you have a 1 in 100 chance of getting the number, then you have a 1 in 100 chance of dying. Being put to sleep a bunch of times after it, has no effect on your chances with the wheel. |
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Edit: Revised |
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Last edited by Photolysis; 07-02-2011 at 04:31 PM.
The reason for the confusion is that there are two ways of interpreting the question and they do not have the same answer. |
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April Ryan is my friend,
Every sorrow she can mend.
When i visit her dark realm,
Does it simply overwhelm.
The question (in this case) isn't clear on what it's asking by 'will you die'? Is it asking whether you will die from the experiment at all, or is it asking whether you'll die this time that you wake up? |
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That's funny tommo. PhantomLegend, Photolysis and khh came in and pretty much just got it. So I didn't word it that badly. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
Well, so did I. I just wasn't sure whether I had the correct answer because of the wording. |
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The probability is not slightly smaller but vastly smaller. 99/100 to live before the wheel spins vs 99/10,100 to live after the wheel spins. |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
No. Just...no. When combining probabilities, you multiply, not add. |
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uhhhh ..... no? |
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Previously PhilosopherStoned
The 100 and 10,000. From what I can see, you only added the probabilities... |
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