Bull shit. That's aimed at a lot of you, not anybody in particular, though a few certainly seem to have their heads on straight.
1: Japan wasn't going to surrender immediately. Eventually, they would have had to, facing the superior numbers of forces in a tactically disadvantageous situation. But they wouldn't surrender immediately, and they'd attempt to negotiate too many terms for surrender. Since the allies had determined that they'd only accept unconditional surrender, and they wanted to end the war soon and with as little allied casualties as possible, nukes seemed a valid option.
2: Iran doesn't have nukes. They sure as hell would like them, and they're most definitely attempting to get them, but they don't have them YET. On Feb. 10 they removed UN seals on their centrifuges at Katanz to resume enrichment of Uranium. They also removed UN cameras and refused to allow any more inspections by UN security teams OR the International Atomic Energy Association. Also, several years ago we found traces of HEU (Highly Enriched Uranium) in the very same centrifuges in Katanz. Iran tried to stonewall, successfully predicting that the UN would do very little about it. The stonewalling still continues. Iran claims that they're developing medical technology, almost certainly false, seeing as how they could purchase the technology and materials, or technological assistance to start producing the materials themselves, without need for expensive experimentation. Also, 'Medical Research' doesn't explain the HEU. Also, an innocent nation who was flustered at the UN might indeed remove seals placed upon their centrifuges against UN wishes, but they most certainly would have no reason to remove the cameras and ban inspections if it was TRULY medical research. Iran is backing on the idea that the UN will be crippled once again by it's indecisiveness and lack of commitment, and beligerantly refusing to comply with the NPT. They've already moved to paralyze two of the five permanent UN votes by making a multi-billion dollar deal with Russia for a new reactor, and another multi-billion dollar oil deal with China. Both deals would be impaired by any UN sanctions, so Russia and China would be reluctant if asked to push decisive action against Iran. War probably isn't the answer, or tactical strikes, since both would involve high civilian casualties and low popularity, and both would be likely to fail. The facilities are 65+ feet underground, so tactical warheads wouldn't damage them, and in the event of a war, the materials could easily be hid before any troops found them.
3: Russia admitted to more than 500 KNOWN incidents of Plutonium, HEU and other nuclear materials being smuggled across the border just last year. What's to say that a nuke couldn't be smuggled across soon, as well?
4: Russia also has amazing numbers of nuclear subs, ARMED, that they don't have the money to deactivate. Those nuclear subs carry HEU, a vital bomb ingredient, and have little or no emplaced security measures. To sneak in and steal some would be amazingly easy.
5: India, Pakistan, South Africa, China, France, USA, Russia, Israel, the UK, Kazakhstan, Belarus, Ukraine and North Korea all have nuclear weapons, or have declared that they have nuclear weapons. No nuclear tests have been staged in North Korea, so it's doubtful that they actually possess any, and South Africa, Kazakhstan, Ukraine and Belarus have now surrendered their arsenal of nuclear weapons and accepted compliance with the NPT.
6: Nuclear war isn't likely to start with the United States. As much as some people would testify otherwise, we remain a democratic society, at least at some level. If the President okayed a nuclear strike, the vast majority of the US would riot in the streets in protest. The riots wouldn't be contained to just the citizens, either. A large portion of the armed forces would rebel as well, along with most of the police forces. The riots would be uncontainable, and the government would very rapidly have to comply with the wishes of the people, or be reduced to a government without a nation. Russia MIGHT be the starting point of a nuclear war, but only because of the relative amount of disorder and chaos in their country at the moment, providing opportunity for non-sanctioned groups or extremists to gain control of their warheads. China could possibly start such a war, since they have much less democracy than the US or Russia, and have far fewer social and political obligations to consider. Even then, they aren't likely to start such a war, either, since they rely heavily on foreign trade. India likely wouldn't be the first to fire, since they have much less political resolve and far too much reliance on foreign nations. Pakistan, under the new Hamas party, is a far more likely suspect. The people of the country most certainly want the destruction of Israel, and the government, now ruled for the most part by a political group recognized by the US, Israel and the European Union as a terrorist organization and not a political party, might be volatile enough to pull the trigger. Even then, they'd most certainly think twice faced with almost certain nuclear retaliation from Israel, who has consistently refused to sign the NPT and has long been suspected of owning nukes, as well as retaliation, though probably not nuclear retaliation, from the US as well, who has vowed to support Israel.
The most likely starting point, though, would be rogue terrorist organizations. Since they have no social obligations, and very straight-forward and single-minded political objectives, they'd almost certainly deploy any nuclear weapons they had the luck to come upon. Their only limiting factor is technical ability and the difficulty of acquisition of the materials. Few organized nations want the blame placed upon them for a nuclear strike.
7: Japan isn't trying, nor is it in the possession of, nuclear weapons. Japan is, in fact, one of the LEAST likely suspects for such a thing. The social pressure, both in and outside of their government, is overwhelmingly opposed to nuclear weapons of ANY kind. Quite understandable, seeing their history with such weapons. For a good "what-if" scenario on the subject, read "Debt of Honor" by Tom Clancy.
8. The US won't give up nuclear weapons. Nor will Russia, the UK, France, or China. If any of them do, it would likely be France or the UK first. But the USA will most definitely keep them. In fact, it'd be a poor decision to give up such weapons, and that's coming from a pacifist. The world's in a sort of standoff right now. China, the US, and Russia all have guns pointed at eachother's heads, but nobody wants to pull the trigger first. That isn't to say that they don't want to pull the trigger eventually, however. Russia is becoming less of a player in the standoff as their government faces reform and reorganization challenges, and as they begin to make peaceful negotiations and alliances with the US and European nations. Abruptly dropping nuclear weapons from the US or China's arsenal would be dangerous for both sides politically. If the US dropped nuclear weapons, China would see it as a venerability. They MIGHT strike, but likely would hold back because of economic dependency on outside sources. The temptation would still be great, though, and provided they could obtain independence of foreign trade, they might take the opportunity to eliminate US military threats. If China dropped their nuclear program, they'd lose a significant bartering chip in world politics. Other than nukes, China's army is mostly built on numbers, not technological advancement. The US army would stand a decent chance against them if nuclear weapons were removed from the picture, and if the US had the help of European nations, Canada and Australia, they could easily overwhelm China. So long as China has nuclear weapons, they're guarunteed a certain level of immunity to war. So long as the US has nuclear weapons, opposing world forces are less likely to attempt a direct strike against us. Still, the primary goal of all governments should be the gradual elimination of nuclear weapons. No sane and established government has any desire to use them, and they're inhuman and cruel weapons to think about. In addition, they have little use in the modern war, in which the opponents are few and far between, using guerilla tactics. Modern war should focus on surgical strikes to compensate, not on nearly useless nukes.
9: The war in Iraq wasn't started with no reason and against UN wishes. The UN passed a long series of resolutions asking Iraq to surrender their chemical, biological and nuclear weapon stockpiles and research material. Iraq refused, but the UN was hesitant to act. Eventually, after a long political debate, Iraq actually surrendered a small number of chemical weapons to the UN, but clearly withheld some. The UN, prodded forward by Bush and the United States, kept asking. Iraq used the meantime to hide or dispose of, their chemical weapons. The UN finally admitted that it was time to back talk with action, and allowed war to be declared against Iraq. Obviously, no weapons were found, seeing as how Iraq had plenty of time to rid itself of them. Bungling by the administration in charge of the military also added to the failure. Sending troops marching down the street is no way to deal with an opposing guerilla force. But that's what we did--and we continue to pay the price for it. Still, the fact remains that the UN WAS on our side when this whole thing started. Don't pretend that they were the good guys--hell, the UN is one of the greatest laughables of this age.
For one, the UN lacks the resolve to take any action against nations that violate international law. There are several nations who've refused to sign the NPT, including Iran, but they failed to act against every one of them. Several of the nations that the UN KNEW were developing nukes succeeded in doing so, but the UN still refused to take action. Second, the voting system is pathetic. Five permanent votes, all easily swayed by a few greenbacks. Such was showed by Iran, when they made those deals with Russia and China. Third, they accept member nations who are known to be oppressive to their inhabitants. Fourth, their actions are so uncoordinated and lacking in organization and tact that when they actually DO get around to doing something, it never winds up actually DOING anything.
That's more or less it. Sorry for the long post.
EDIT: Forgot to add.
10: Nuclear power is a very pretty-looking alternative. I live in Utah, where we're faced with storing the vast majority of the US's nuclear waste soon. I still advocate nuclear power whole-heartedly.
Coal power isn't safe, or clean, or renewable. There's little reason to keep it around. Even if there was a massive leak in radioactive waste, the death and injuries incurred would be insignificant compared to the massive numbers per year of coal related deaths and injuries. Look at all the recent mining disasters, all of which have happened in COAL mines. Comparitively, nuclear power has had under 100 casualties, all of which were at one site at one point in time. Chernobyl. And that was a reactor that didn't meet saftey regulations and was poorly managed. Three-Mile Island didn't actually kill anybody, though it made a few fire-fighters who didn't follow regulations sick. In fact, the reactor there gave off less radiation than the granite and soil in people's homes. You could go up and lick the reactor, even live duct-tape to the wall for a few months, or sleep inside of it for the next year, and get less radation than you'd get by waking into the average subway station in New York.
Wind power is insufficient to meet the needs of a growing society. The amount of space used up by such generators is massive, and the power generated from that area is miniscule compared to the demand it aims to fill. With a rapidly expanding society, growing by a billion people a year or more, we don't have the space to use for them. Besides, their usefulness is heavily relient on desirable weather.
Water power is amazingly useful, completely clean and very productive for the space it uses. But it's limited to areas with a river to dam, and not everywhere has one.
Solar power is just as bad as wind power: Amazingly space-wasteful and hardly productive OR efficient. If you want to put a solar panel on your roof, go ahead. Kudos, even. But to power the whole world, it's not going to work, for the same reasons stated for wind power.
There. NOW I'm done.
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