There's nothing here.
Your mother mentioned in response that your brother was going to climb the tree, but the timing of his doing so sounds nonparticular, so there's no coincidence.
You dreamed about the cupcake the night before the real cake, so that is a coincidence, but you have dreams all the time anyway. This became the one you remembered.
This is just a case of Observer Bias, the ones you remember but are out of chance.
A tree is personal growth, the falling loss, and death change. Either your brother or your feelings for him changed as a result of growth & loss.
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