The primaries represent the ultimate political test of R. Paul's viability as a candidate, however. If the Republicans don't choose him to lead, those who are loyal to the party will not follow.
We shouldn't forget that the nomination is based upon who is most likely to win in the electoral college. In order to win the nomination, he must not only compete with the anointed candidates, but he must who that his campaign can win majorities in enough states to win.
Unfortunately, his grass-roots campaign is supported by a diverse group. In terms of political strategy, the Republicans think the liberal support he gets is a complete waste of campaign power, since they believe he has no chance of getting a majority in any of the Democratic strongholds. He may be a great national candidate, but his party's strategies(and thoughts) are based upon dividing the country almost in half. To seek wide support is viewed as a long-shot gamble, and the media reinforces this idea.
Even though I support Ron Paul, I think it's fair to say that his candidacy depends far more upon his popularity with Republicans than upon his popularity with the people at large, and this makes his chances for nomination slim, barring a major political catastrophe for the anointed front-runners.
They should bet the election on a national candidate. That's how I'll vote.
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