 Originally Posted by R.D.735
This is where I diverge with your views, Universal Mind. I do not believe that Democracy guarantees prosperity at all. Instead, Democracy only provides the best chance for a prosperous outcome, and it could be one in a million given the utter lack of economic potential in certain countries. Prosperity is gained by economy, and if a certain region has too few resources, it has only a tiny chance of prosperity, regardless of its government.
In the case of a country like Iraq, with oil as its sole resource, it is necessary to nationalize the industry, or else the only prosperous people would be those who worked for the private oil companies. In a case like this, Iraq's most prosperous form is a welfare state, but the lack of Sunni representation in the government guarantees that oil revenue will not be distributed evenly until the rift is corrected, which would take decades at least, decades of economic poverty and despair, the seeds of terrorism. When oil becomes uneconomical for the western world, within a few decades, Iraq's oil will be worthless economically. Whether sectarian violence would increase or decrease after a withdrawal is anyone's guess
(and there are good reasons to believe it would decrease), but global terrorism would continue to rise as long as the US remained.
Until we leave, we will be doing the same job that Saddam Hussein was doing: tamping down violent revolts in his country amidst an unfair distribution of oil profits.
I agree that democracy only provides the best chance of economic prosperity, but I think any form of it will be much better than what has been in that region. There are different ways democracy can be used, and some forms bring more prosperity than others. Low taxes are one of the key factors.
There are going to be issues regarding how the oil in Iraq and Afghanistan will be used, and that oil will end up being irrelevant in upcoming decades. However, a country does not have to originally possess the resources that are the center of its trade. Businesses can buy resources from other countries and market them in their own countries as well as other ones. Exxon and Texaco are American countries, but they get most of their oil from the Middle East. A lot of American made products are sold in European countries by European companies. Bananas don't grow in the United States, but bananas from Honduras are sold to American companies who sell the bananas here. There are tons of examples of that sort of thing. A company does not have to limit itself to products made from resources in its own country. Plus, natural resources are not the only type of business resource. People can make movies, music, toys, computer software, technological devices, and zillions of other things. I think Iraq and Afghanistan both have excellent shots at allowing business to grow, even without a good supply of natural resources in those countries, which will allow the countries to prosper. When that happens, the suicide bomber mentality will really start to calm down.
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