Originally Posted by Xaqaria
Did you even read the sources he posted for you? The huffington post article is about the motivation behind the Justforeignpolicy website. It says that the reason why they made the website was because there was a credible estimate made by the Lancet Medical Journal in 2006 that put the number of iraqis dead at 655,000, but there was nothing to refer to since then. That was 4 years ago, and only 3 years into the war. I think it is pretty safe to say that judging by these numbers the death toll could easily be up over a million by now.
Of course I read it, I know all about the Lancet survey. Like I said, there are no credible sources for a true death count in iraq. The Lancet survey is no more credible than any of the others, and the numbers vary greatly from the Lancet findings. The lancet survey is one of the highest numbers published so far and it has a margin of error of about 300,000, meaning their actual number could be as low as 300,000 or as high as 900,000, they are just splitting the difference with the 600,000. That hardly sounds credible to me. There are many things that are misleading about these polls, one being the amount of assumption and estimation that goes into finding these numbers, and another being that these are estimations of all deaths since the beginning of the war, not just deaths at the hands of Americans. And when you say the number could have easily jumped to one million in three years, you aren't taking into account the fact that the violence level isn't steady and things have in fact improved over the past year or so. It is widely excepted that you can divide any estimation by three and that is the number of Iraqis killed directly by Americans, the rest are killed by insurgents, criminal activity, sectarian violence, or died due to "poor healthcare." You can't cite any one of these polls as a "credible" source since they all use the same unreliable methods and they all get vastly different numbers. If you average all of these polls together, you get a number much lower than one million.
All of that being said, it is really pointless to argue about the death toll because it won't make a bit of difference whether the number is 100,000 or whether it really is over a million. I just don't like when people go throwing large numbers around for shock value when that number bears no credence to the actual situation, it's misleading and dishonest. People shout "one million Iraqi dead!" like we have slaughtered a million innocent people. If he hadn't said "well over a million" like it was the absolute truth, I wouldn't have said anything.
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