Thread: Math question for LD experiment

Click here for the experiment details.

Out of curiosity, I have set up an experiment in which I am attempting to determine if a lucid dream can be used to "observe" physical things remotely...in this case a die that has a different color on each side (Red,Black,White,Blue,Green,and Orange). I haven't been in a math class for almost a decade now, which I am sure is part of the issue. Trying to figure out the overall probability of all of the trials combined (when some are "hits" and some are "misses" and when the individual probabilities of each trial can vary) makes me blank out. I cannot seem to make sense of how to do this...but I do know there is a way to do it correctly.



D = the number I observed in the lucid dream
R = the real number
* = a "hit"
X= a "miss"

X Trial 1: D = green, R = black (odds: 1/6)
* Trial 2: D = green, R = green (odds: 1/6)
* Trial 3: D = white or black, R = black (odds: 2/6)

I am aware its a very small sample of trials at this point, I did just start it after all. But I need to know how to calculate out the probabilities specifically in situations when the cube cannot be determined to be any specific color of two or more options. Any help would be greatly appreciated. I know its something simple I just do not remember what it is.