Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT), a company in the same competitive league as Apple, Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Google, INc. (NASDAQ: GOOG), Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), and International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM), posted its Q4 earnings release after the bell on Thursday. As I was writing this paragraph, shares of the software giant were trading down over 6% in the after-hours session. Looks like the market was disappointed.
To be certain, the results weren't great (of course, no one was expecting them to recall the company's growth story of yesteryear, I'm confident about that, let me tell you). Sales were down 17%. Operating income on a dollar basis dropped 30%. And, on a reported basis, Microsoft's per-share profit, calculated out to be 34 cents, declined 26%. On an adjusted basis, adding back 4 cents for a few items, earnings came in at 38 cents per share. According to my earnings preview, that beat estimates by two pennies.
Now, if you read through my earnings preview article, you'll note that I did an earnings trade with Microsoft this week. I was figuring that, with the excitement of the announcement coming up, with the recent price-action characteristics of the shares, and with the general bullish tone of the markets at large, I could make a quick dollar-gain trade. I bought shares for $24.32 a piece on Monday. Thankfully, Microsoft reached my desired price of $25.32 earlier on Thursday and I sold out before the earnings announcement. I knew betting on an after-hours rise was risky, but I still wanted to take the chance; again, it's great that my sell order was triggered and that I lucked out with a profit.
But, is all lost with Microsoft? At the beginning of this piece, I said shares were down 6%. Guess what? They're now down 8% as I type! Wall Street really hates Microsoft at the moment!
Please. If you've got a long-term horizon, don't worry. Microsoft generates a lot of cash. Sure, annual operational cash flow is down this year, but the business still brought in over $19 billion. If you add up the dividends paid out to shareholders and the cost of the repurchased stock, you still don't reach $19 billion. Think about that, my friends.
Microsoft is in for some challenging times. But it has a few good brands -- Bing, Xbox 360, and a little thing known as Windows (also referred to as "operating-system monopoly" in layman's terms). When the recession is gone, Microsoft should prosper.
So, if shares of the company pull back over the next several trading sessions (and they most likely do need to consolidate a bit; if my fellow investors don't believe me, I urge all to engage a study of the chart), I'd probably take a look at them; come on, management beat the analysts, correct? I'd have to believe that this isn't a lack-of-confidence vote so much as it is a profit-taking exercise. Maybe I'll turn out to be wrong, but I remain bullish on Microsoft's potential in the years to come.
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