Originally Posted by Xaqaria
Once the European war was over, we had the opportunity to dedicate a lot more resources to the pacific war, so you can't really compare the times it took to take Iwo Jima, Okinawa, etc. to the amount of time that would have been needed after Hitler was defeated.
Resources had nothing to do with how the Pacific war was fought. You can pour as many tanks and as many people into a battle like that as you want, it would just turn into a cluster fuck. It isn't the size of the force but how you use it.
Originally Posted by Xaqaria
Obviously it is debatable; but "most historians" definitely do not agree with your position. The Chief of Staff during world war 2, admiral Leahy, had this to say,
"It is my opinion that the use of the barbarous weapon at Hiroshima and Nagasaki was of no material assistance in our war against Japan ... The Japanese were already defeated and ready to surrender because of the effective sea blockade and the successful bombing with conventional weapons ... My own feeling was that in being the first to use it, we had adopted an ethical standard common to the barbarians of the Dark Ages. I was not taught to make war in that fashion, and wars cannot be won by destroying women and children."
As he said, a blockade would have been similarly effective. We could have pulled out of the ground war in Japan entirely and blockaded them and they would have had to accept any terms we were willing to give eventually. By the time the bombs were dropped they had no airforce or navy to speak of to stand up to a blockade.
I could make the case for a war of attrition being equally or even more inhumane than a nuclear attack. Wars of attrition have been some of the nastiest in history. And no, we would not "pull out of the ground war." That would undo everything we fought for. In order for a war of attrition to work, we need to hold our ground, which would involve troops on the ground. Japan had the resources, not to last forever but enough to do a hell of a lot of damage. They would bomb a blockade daily (they did have an airforce,) they would attack any troops on the ground. Do you have any idea how long it would take to completely deplete Japan of its resources? More than a year in my opinion. How many people would needlessly die during that time?
Originally Posted by BLUELINE976
So because of a government's actions, the whole population has to suffer?
Yes, unfortunately.
Originally Posted by Xaqaria
By the end of the war, Japan was already "running on fumes" so to speak when it came to many of the essentials; oil, rice, minerals, etc. They have never been a country with many natural resources and have always relied on imports. Before the war, many of their resources came from the territories they controlled, Korea, Taiwan, Manchuria and northern China. The successful blockade by the Allies stopped all of these resources from flowing into the country, and once their airforce was essentially destroyed, the ally airforces were free to use conventional bombs against their stockpiles and all of their manufacturing facilities.
If this had continued, eventually they would have no other options but to surrender or starve to death. I'm sure at some point, the population of Japan would have risen up against the Imperial government that was refusing to do what was necessary to allow them to survive. Extreme poverty provokes revolution and without surrendering there was absolutely nothing the government of japan could have done to abate the poverty that was being created by the blockades.
To be clear though, I'm not saying that this scenario requires the japanese revolt; I'm just saying that would be a likely outcome.
The psychology of Japanese culture is one of the most interesting aspects of this war to me. They were fanatical in every sense of the word, and not just the military, the civilians. You had the military embodying their skewed version of bushido and a great deal of the population brainwashed into supporting their endeavours. Civilians would have picked up rocks and sticks before surrendering to Ameicans, especially with the propoganda spreading about how Americans treat POWs. Most would be honored to die for their country. A civilian revolt is very unrealistic.
One of the main problems with your argument is that you act like Japan was ready to roll over and die. They were beaten, meaning they couldn't possibly win, but they still had the means to inflict serious damage upon the Americans. A samurai warrior doesn't surrender so the Japanese would be damned if their government surrendered. The resolve of the Japanese people was remarkably strong, as evidenced by their suicide practices. If they weren't ready to surrender in the face of an atomic attack, they would certainly not surrender because of a blockade. Even if hundreds of people are dieing of starvation everyday, they would make the Americans come in and forcefully take over. That is just their code of honor. There is really no saying exactly how long it would take to completely deplete Japan of its resources, but we can be certain that it would not be quick and it would not be pretty.
Another thing about wars of attrition is that they don't always end a war, they just prolong the inevitable conflict and kill thousands of people in the process. If Japan is not actively fighting the war, they are not useing resources, which means they could stretch the war almost indefinitely while they mobilize troops, stockpile all remaining resources and prepare to break the blockade. You know the propoganda during this time would be to make sacrifices for the good of the emperor. People would be lining up to die for the emperor rather than revolting as you say. There is lot of speculation in this argument. The only things we can know for sure is the number of people actually killed by the atomic bombs and the potential death toll of an invasion and of a war of attrition. Both a war of attrition and an invasion could have easily surpassed the death toll of the atomic bomb, so the question you need to ask is, is the risk worth it? A study of Japanese culture and psychology says no. A study of the previous battles in the Pacific says absolutely no.
I mentioned an unoficial law of industrial war earlier: Prolonging war= more people die. A war of attrition prolongs the war indefinitely.
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