Praying isn't just simply the act of folding your hands, closing your eyes and wishing. It's more of a personal communication with God, or whatever diety you choose to pray to. It's hard to explain. The "wishes" that are made during prayer require a certain amount of faith and belief in what you are doing. I used to be very unspiritual, so just trying to pray made me scoff at the idea that I was actually being heard. I'm very spiritual now, and when I pray, I mostly am telling God "Thank you for (fill in the blank)" or I pray for patience and strength, either for myself or for others. I do feel like, for example if I ask for patience for myself, I am more patient after prayer, but only after I start to notice situations that come about requiring me to be patient; I just use them as an opportunity to practice my patience. I just look at the situation differently after prayer, and, when my prayers are for others, I simply must have faith that they will be answered to some extent and if not, then the person will still be ok.
In short, having faith in what you're doing, in this case praying, is what affects the outcomes more than anything. It's a very hard concept to grasp.
As for probability, no, I don't think prayer affects probability. Then again, God transcends probability. I am a firm believer that God, prayer, many dreams, and the afterlife are all things that our tiny human minds can't grasp, because we cannot think on a level high enough. Besides, if we understood it all, it would take the spice out of life, no? Hope I've helped you out!
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