Why i think the USA won't Nuke or invade Iran
We all know about the controversies with Irans nuclear program. Atleast i hope you know about it, if you don't you can stop reading this right now :P
So here is the thing. There are lots of sanctions on Iran by a number of countries,and Irans relations witht he west are strained at best. Obviously none of this is dettering iran and they are cho choing their way to being part of the Nuclear club with the USA/UN/EU muttering in the background saying you cant do that. In large part because of the international uproar about irans nuclear program the nuclear issue has become part of pride for iranians and if they were to back out of it now they would look like pussies and their collective egos would be smushed atleast in the eyes of irans citizens.
Now the USA hasn't ruled out a pre emptive strike or some sort of military action against Iran, but says it wants to exhaust all other possibilites which doesn't look likely. Now let me mention Iran learned well from Iraqs failed attempted nuclear profileration. Iraq concentrated all their facilities into one building which israel consequently bombed...that was the end of that.
Iran has its nuclear facilities spaced out in the east of the country in bunkers,which if not out of range of israeli bombers atleast the facillities are harder to get to.
Now here is why the USA will not bomb Iran. Or atleast why i think so.
Irans largest trading partner is China. China as you know is an energy starved nation needing lots of gas,oil and coal. Some examples of these are in china every week 1 coal plant is built. Remember the bad weather china just had? Well China has to halt all coal exports for 2 months because some plants were running out of coal if not already out of coal because of the transporation problems. see how energy starved they are?
Imagine if China lost its imports from Iran or if the imports were threatened.
What would that do china and the worlds economy if China lost that valuable energy source?
Imagine how pissed of china would be at the USA meddling with one of its major trading partners ?(not to mention russia which does good business with iran to)
And if thats not all there is more icing on the cake, Bejing and Tehran are negotiating placing a chinese military base within Iran. If the USA bombs Iran will that be seen as an agresion on China? Not to mention the USA is heavily in debt to china over the iraq war and other things but the USA needs China and China needs the USA to. China has a large market to export to and the USA has a place to get cheap goods. Its a match made in heaven why would they want to potentailly fuck up the world economy and cause World War III with each otehr who are both major trading partnets with one onother?
I know i know like no one read my rambling post. So be it!!! For those of you who did if there is anyone.
Comments/ideas would be welcome, discuss!!
Desperate Times Call For Desperate Measures.
Most importantly, when we talk about the Middle East, we need to be looking at the big picture. Illegal or no, it doesn't matter at this point, the stability of the region is extremely important to the world. Whatever your political stance, we are subject to the economic impact of changes in the global economy. A stable Iraq is a necessity for a stable Europe and United States. Don't be naive, the United States is the world police. If you control the waters, you control the world. Hearken back to the Spanish and English empires. If doing such things can keep greater wars and genocides from occuring, then it is morally justifiable, as it is in Iraq. Life is the more precious than gold, and a lot more lives would be lost if a World War were sparked by a rogue state. We created the UN and the League of Nations to prevent another World War, remember?
Most people that oppose or support the war are giving into to political rhetoric instead of investigating the region and it's history like they should. We installed Saddam Hussein, and we booted him out because he wasn't reliable, he became a rogue instead of acting like a puppet like we intended. The thought was, by having a secular dictator in such a radically divided region ethnically, he could unify the country. What he did to achieve this was not worth it however, so daddy had give him a good spanking.
George Bush is essentially finishing what America started and his father didn't finish. Sometimes we must make painful choices to do not only the right thing but the necessary thing.