 Originally Posted by Dianeva
Yeah, it would be just as unreasonable to believe a "X does not exist" claim as it would be to believe an "X does exist" claim, if there is no evidence for either. But the default position is to assume the thing does not exist while carrying out your daily life and thoughts. If we were to do otherwise, we would be forced to seriously consider every idea that came at us.
This I completely disagree with; there should not be a bias before evidence has been presented. But of course it would be admissible to present as evidence anything, which one feels is relevant. So, if you have spent all your days never seing a unicorn, then that can be used as evidence in favour of the theory of non-existence of unicorns. It should be kept in mind, though, that there is a first time for everything, and prior to this first time the evidence points in the wrong direction ... Take swans as an example: in earlier times Europeans thought that all swans were white. Then Australia was discovered, and so were the black swans ...
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence
Agreed!
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
That's about how stupid it would be to suddenly flip your entire world-view upside down to believe in an afterlife after reading accounts of near-death experiences or something.
See, here you loose me completely: why on earth does evidence in favour of an afterlife not count, when there is zero evidence offered for its opposite hypothesis?
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
evidence should be weighed
Yes! Always! 
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
Irrelevant that that could happen. If you know the truth, you're in general better able to plan your own future. We all have certain desires we're striving for in life, states of mind we want to achieve. When we know more true things, we have a clearer understanding of how to achieve those states of mind.
I of course agree with you completely, that knowing the truth generally leads to making fewer mistakes. But to assume that people are waisting their lives, because they firmly believe in an idea which later may be revealed to be false, is unreasonable - people are not created as robots with the explicit purpose of carrying out work flawlessly.
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
The sadness of it is a subjective thing. Perhaps you don't care about the truth. I do. I'd rather know a sad truth than a happy lie. That's just the way I am. That's just a subjective disagreement, so it doesn't really matter. I thought that the desire for truth might be a universal human desire, but I suppose I was mistaken.
I'm less concerned with finding truth (partly because I suspect that "the truth" would be unfathomable) and more concerned with eliminating delusions.
How you've reached the belief that desire for truth is a universal human desire is rather mysterious to me. From my perspective, humanity seems insatiable in its quest for living the lie. Compare how many people spend their time meditating, and contemplating, with how many people spend their time glaring at mindless entertainment for hours and hours every day.
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
You might be misunderstanding the point of this example. I said after that the scientific method is what we use to determine the probabilities. In reality, the blue beads would be the "chance that the claim is true." (based on evidence, reason, experience, etc.)
Maybe I did. But to me it came across, as if you implied that the game is already loaded in favour of those who don't believe in the extraordinary - as if the burden of proof was not equal for the two sides. And the burden of proof most certainly is equal for both sides. Nobody gets a freebie.
 Originally Posted by Dianeva
Yeah, you're right about that one, I just suspect it and shouldn't have asserted it like it was a known fact.
I have to admit that I have had the same suspicion of a link between the two. Somehow it seems reasonable that logic is being applied in the mind below the level of consciousness (or maybe logic at that level simply equates to force of habit).
 Originally Posted by Lucidpotential
Excellent post Voldmer. One of the best overviews on the subject I have read. I would love to hear your thoughts on belief/expectation verses skepticism in regard to Lucid Dreaming. It has been my experience that if you don’t belief/expect something is possible in a LD then it is near impossible to make it happen in the dream. For example I find it hard to fly in a LD if I don’t already have the expectation (with out prior evidence) that I can fly. Thanks in advance.
LP
At present, I don't feel up to distinguishing between "believing" and "expecting", so I'll simply talk about expecting.
My experience matches yours; I tend to get the expected in my dreams (lucid or non-lucid). If I expect the nice girl on the bike to become a witch with luminous green froth oozing from her mouth, then half a second later she'll be that witch. Expecting to loose the dream and wake up will rapidly awaken me. Etc. etc.
From my own experience, the expectation is the decisive issue, but I think that my real expectation is not always known to me, and sometimes surprises occur. For example, I may think about a certain person appearing around the corner, but the person who does appear is someone else. My gut feeling (well, intuition really) is that knowing what you actually expect is rather tricky. An art in itself.
One thing I am hoping to achieve with lucid dreaming, is to get a subtler understanding of my own expectations. Lucid dreams certainly seem the perfect laboratory in which to study this, because expectations so rapidly materialise in dreams.
Returning to your question about expectation versus scepticism, it seems to me that a lucid dreamer who does not expect anything in particular, should not be able to control the dream at all. Nor, for that matter, would this person act in any way in the dream, because every action must be caused by the belief/expectation that the act will lead to a desired outcome. Such a person would be a perpetual observer of the dream - doomed to always go with the flow.
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