Also. Sorry double post, but to answer your original question..

Is your recall increasing? That's a sign of heading the direction.

Are you having moments of doubt in your dreams? (like, last night, I was thinking, why are those bananas on that tree so big? This is weird...?) That kind of thing. That getting closer, and a sign of building critical reflective attitude.

Are you having failed RC moments in dreams? (looking at your hands and not becoming lucid?) That's actually a good sign.

Are you becoming lucid for 1-2 second and then fear or some other emotion wakes you up?

That's kind of like the progression I have been seeing, maybe you are seeing the same?